AC forecast-analysis-claw
根据历史销售数据预测未来销量并生成补货建议。核心能力：(1) 销量预测 - 基于移动平均、指数平滑、Holt-Winters、Prophet 等模型自动预测未来销量；(2) 补货计算 - 结合库存参数自动计算补货触发点和建议补货量；(3) 活动预测 - 叠加促销效应系数预测大促期间销量峰值；(4) 断货预警 - 识别高风险 SKU 并推送预警。 触发场景：用户提供历史销售数据（Excel/CSV），要求预测销量、计算补货量、备战大促、分析库存风险、生成补货计划等。也适用于用户提到"预测"、"补货"、"销量预测"、"需求预测"、"库存预测"、"大促备货"、"季节性"、"历史数据"、"销售曲线"、"备货计划"等关键词。
As a process C 53/100 · Has gaps — weak spots: result and completion, when it triggers, inputs and preconditions
How to improve
- Say in the description WHEN to use the skill ("use when…", example requests): that is the agent's main cue.
- Your own cases (evals/evals.json, 4–6 real requests with expected answers): the full check would then run those instead of a model-drafted suite.
- A spec.yaml with trigger phrases and assertions — a behaviour contract for CI; `skilltest init` writes a template.
Guard findings · 0
✓ No critical or high findings
Files scanned: 7. Evidence is masked. Grey chips explain why severity was lowered.
Against the Agent Skills spec
- warning
description-no-whendescription does not say WHEN to use the skill (no "use when")
Process rating: all ten parameters 53/100
- 0Result and completion. Does not say what the result is
- 0Inputs and preconditions. Does not say what the process needs to start
- 0Failures and branches. Linear process with no failure handling
- 0Progress reporting. Says nothing while it works
- 20When it triggers. No condition that starts the skill
- 100Tools and files. No external tools needed
- 100Steps. 30 steps
- 100Consistency. Name and required fields are in place
- 100Execution cost. Instruction body is 576 tokens
- 100Running it twice. No mutating operations
Everything here is measured from the skill text rather than judged by a model, so the numbers are checkable. A parameter weighs more when it is a more common reason for the process to stall.
Quality signals
- +5Description has no quoted example phrases that should trigger the skill
- +4Description does not say when NOT to use the skill (false activations)
- +3Output format is not stated: the model decides each time
- +1No license
- +2Single-language instructions
- +3Description length 312: enough signal without eating the budget
- +4Structure: 13 headings
- +3Step-by-step instructions: 30 items
- +4Has examples (7 code blocks)
- +4Reference files are cited in the instructions (3 of 3)
- +3All 2 scripts are documented
Quality base 70; lint remarks subtract, signals add up to 100. Result: 79.