AC wc-fixture-progression
Rates fixture difficulty (separately for an attacking and a defending fantasy asset, 1-5 each way, from opponent xGA/xG), computes team progression probabilities (group qualification odds from the mini-table; round-by-round knockout survival down the bracket) by reference-class forecasting updated Bayesianly on observed form and group state, detects weak-group/mismatch fixtures (powerhouse-vs-minnow -> captain candidates and clean-sheet locks), and builds a multi-round swing calendar of where each team's difficulty flips so transfers can be planned ahead. Emits the `fixture` signal. Use when called by wc-fixture-analyst, by the strategists in the populate stage, and by wc-fitness-eval for its progression_carry term — and never re-derive these once the signal exists.
Rates fixture difficulty (separately for an attacking and a defending fantasy asset, 1-5 each way, from opponent xGA/xG), computes team progression…
As a process C 64/100 · Has gaps — weak spots: failures and branches, progress reporting
How to improve
- Your own cases (evals/evals.json, 4–6 real requests with expected answers): the full check would then run those instead of a model-drafted suite.
- A spec.yaml with trigger phrases and assertions — a behaviour contract for CI; `skilltest init` writes a template.
Guard findings · 0
✓ No critical or high findings
Files scanned: 1. Evidence is masked. Grey chips explain why severity was lowered.
Against the Agent Skills spec
✓ No remarks against the Agent Skills spec
Process rating: all ten parameters 64/100
- 0Failures and branches. Linear process with no failure handling
- 0Progress reporting. Says nothing while it works
- 50When it triggers. No condition that starts the skill
- 60Tools and files. Uses tools (node) that frontmatter does not declare
- 60Result and completion. Output format stated, no completion criterion
- 70Inputs and preconditions. Inputs and preconditions are listed
- 70Execution cost. Instruction body is 4587 tokens
- 100Steps. 28 steps
- 100Consistency. Name and required fields are in place
- 100Running it twice. Mutating operations check current state
- medium Safety rules and hard prohibitions inside a skill: they belong in the system prompt, here they protect nothing
Everything here is measured from the skill text rather than judged by a model, so the numbers are checkable. A parameter weighs more when it is a more common reason for the process to stall.
Quality signals
- +5Description has no quoted example phrases that should trigger the skill
- +4Description does not say when NOT to use the skill (false activations)
- +1No license
- +2Single-language instructions
- +3Description length 776: enough signal without eating the budget
- +4Structure: 11 headings
- +3Step-by-step instructions: 28 items
- +3Output format is stated explicitly
- +4Has examples (4 code blocks)
Quality base 70; lint remarks subtract, signals add up to 100. Result: 87.